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Mastering supply and demand zones - how to use it in trading?Supply and demand zones are key concepts in technical analysis used by traders to identify potential price reversal areas on a chart. They are based on the idea that prices move due to an imbalance between buyers (demand) and sellers (supply). ------------------------- What will be discussed? - What are supply and demand zones? - How to detect supply and demand zones? - Examples from supply and demand zones? - How to trade using supply and demand zones? ------------------------- What are supply and demand zones? Supply and demand zones are areas on a price chart where the forces of buying and selling are strongly concentrated, causing significant movements in price. In simple terms, a supply zone is an area where selling pressure exceeds buying pressure, often leading to a drop in price. It usually forms when price moves upward into a region where sellers begin to outnumber buyers, pushing the price back down. On the other hand, a demand zone is a region where buying pressure exceeds selling pressure, typically resulting in a rise in price. This occurs when price moves downward into a region where buyers see value and begin to outnumber sellers, causing the price to increase again. These zones reflect areas of imbalance in the market. In a supply zone, sellers are more eager to sell than buyers are to buy, often due to overbought conditions, news, or fundamental changes. In a demand zone, buyers are more eager to buy than sellers are to sell, often because the price has become attractive or undervalued. Traders look for these zones because they provide clues about where price may reverse or stall, offering potential entries or exits for trades. ------------------------- How to detect supply and demand zones? Identifying supply and demand zones involves analyzing price action on a chart, typically using candlestick patterns. A common way to detect a supply zone is to look for a sharp upward move followed by a sudden reversal or strong drop in price. The area where the price stalled before falling sharply is likely to be a supply zone. This zone includes the highest candle body or wick before the drop, and a few candles before it that mark where the selling pressure began. To identify a demand zone, you would look for a sharp drop in price followed by a strong rally upward. The area where the price paused before rising significantly can be considered a demand zone. Like with supply zones, the demand zone includes the lowest candle before the price reversed and a few candles leading up to it. These zones are not exact price levels but rather ranges. Price does not have to touch an exact line to react; it often moves within the general area. For more accuracy, traders often refine their zones by identifying them on higher time frames such as the 4-hour or daily chart, then adjusting them slightly on lower time frames like the 1-hour or 15-minute chart. ------------------------- Examples from supply and demand zones: ------------------------- How to trade using supply and demand zones? Trading supply and demand zones involves anticipating how price is likely to behave when it returns to one of these key areas. A common method is to wait for price to enter a zone and then watch for confirmation that it is going to reverse. For example, if price rises into a supply zone, you might look for signs like a bearish candlestick pattern, a drop in volume, or a rejection wick to signal that sellers are stepping in again. This would be an opportunity to enter a short trade with the expectation that price will fall. Conversely, if price falls into a demand zone, you would wait for bullish signals—such as a strong bullish candle, a double bottom pattern, or clear rejection of lower prices—to confirm that buyers are returning. This would be a potential setup for a long trade, expecting the price to move up from the zone. Traders often place stop losses just beyond the zone to limit risk in case the level fails. For a supply zone, the stop loss would go just above the zone, while for a demand zone, it would go just below. Targets can be set at recent support or resistance levels, or by using risk-reward ratios like 1:2 or 1:3 depending on the trader’s strategy. Patience and discipline are important when trading these zones. Not every zone will lead to a reversal, and false breakouts can occur. Therefore, combining supply and demand analysis with other tools such as trendlines, moving averages, or indicators can improve the chances of a successful trade. In summary, supply and demand zones help traders understand where large buying or selling forces are likely to influence price. By learning to identify these zones and waiting for confirmation signals, traders can enter high-probability trades with clear risk and reward levels. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!

Education

In trading, the long way is the shortcut ⚠️ The Shortcut Is an Illusion — And It Will Cost You In trading, everyone wants to arrive without traveling. They want the profits, the freedom, and the Instagram lifestyle — even if it’s fake. What they don’t want is the process that actually gets you there. So they chase shortcuts: • Copy signals without understanding the reason behind them • Over-leverage on “the perfect setup” • Buy indicators they don’t know how to use • Skip journaling and backtesting • Trade real money without trading psychology And then they wonder… Why is my account bleeding? Why does this feel like a cycle I can't break? Because: Every shortcut in trading is just a fast track to disaster. You will lose. You will restart. And it will take even longer than if you just did it right the first time. 🤡 The TikTok Fantasy: “1-Minute Strategy That Will Make You Millions in 2025” This is the new wave: A 60-second video showing you a magical indicator combo. No context. No testing. No risk management. Just fake PnL screenshots and promises of millionaire status before next summer. “This 1-minute scalping strategy made me $12,000 today!” And people fall for it… because it’s easier to believe in shortcuts than to accept that real trading is boring, repetitive, and hard-earned. If it fits in a TikTok video, it’s not a strategy. It’s clickbait. ________________________________________ ❓ Looking for a System Without Knowing the Basics Here’s the paradox: Most people are desperate to find a “profitable strategy” — but they haven’t even mastered the basic math of trading. • They don’t know how pip value is calculated • They don’t understand how leverage works • They confuse margin with risk • They size positions emotionally, not based on their account • They can’t define what 1% risk per trade actually means in dollars But they’re out here, loading indicators, watching YouTube “hacks,” and flipping accounts with 1:500 leverage. Imagine trying to perform surgery before learning anatomy. That’s what trying to trade a strategy without knowing pip cost looks like. ________________________________________ 🛠️ The Long Way Is the Fastest Way You want the real shortcut? Here it is: • Learn price structure deeply • Backtest like a scientist • Journal like a professional • Risk small while you're learning • Stay on demo until your edge is proven • Master basic math: leverage, margin, pip value, position sizing This is the long way. But it’s the only way that doesn’t end in regret. ________________________________________ ⏳ Most Traders Waste 2–5 Years Looking for a Shortcut And in the end? They crawl back to the long path. Broke, humbled, and wishing they had just started there from the beginning. The shortcut is a scam. The long way is the only path that leads to consistency. You either take it now… or take it later — after your account pays the price. ________________________________________ ✅ Final Thought Don’t ask how fast you can get profitable. Ask how solid you can build your foundation. Because in trading: ❌ The shortcut costs you everything ✅ The long way gives you everything And the longer you avoid it, the longer it takes.

Education

Crypto Exploded, I Missed it, What should I Buy Now?!The market suddenly exploded… green candles after green candles. Yesterday, you were hesitating to look at the chart, today everyone on social media is posting their profits. So what now? Did you miss out? It’s not too late. The main question now is: What should I buy to catch up? If you read this analysis till the end, not only will you learn some practical TradingView tools, but you’ll also gain insight into how to act like a professional trader after big pumps not like a reactive follower. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Ethereum: BINANCE:ETHUSDT is currently holding near the daily support and the key psychological level at $3,000, which also matches the 0.23 Fibonacci retracement. A potential upside of at least 12% is expected, targeting $3,800 close to a major daily resistance zone. Keep an eye on these levels for possible trade setups 📊⚡. Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🧠 FOMO: The Enemy That Devours Your Profits If you feel like you missed the boat now, don’t panic. Everyone has felt that, even top traders. It’s called "FOMO." Jumping into the market without analysis and just on emotions can burn you badly. Instead of regretting, sit calmly, analyze, and wait for the right setup. The market always offers new chances you just need to know how to hunt them. 🔍 What to Buy Now? Logic Over Emotion There are three types of coins still offering opportunity: Coins that haven’t broken their previous highs yet Like a compressed spring, they can jump higher with a small push. Altcoins lagging behind Bitcoin When BTC pumps, alts usually follow afterward. Coins with strong upcoming fundamental news Networks with upcoming updates or special events that generate excitement. Don’t forget on-chain analysis. See where money is flowing. 🌟 Look for New Stars and Strong, Established Coins After a pump, there are two ways to hunt: 🔹 New Stars Altcoins that are just coming out of their correction phase and haven’t had their main pump yet. 🔸 Strong and Established Coins Assets that have shown resilience, have strong fundamentals, and tend to pump again after corrections. Balance your portfolio with both to lower risk and maximize profit potential. 🧰 TradingView Tools to Hunt Opportunities After a Pump To avoid missing out in the second phase of the market explosion, you must use TradingView’s analytical tools correctly. Here are three key tools you should know right now: Volume Profile Helps you understand where most trading volume occurred. Smart money usually buys and sells heavily at these points. RSI (Relative Strength Index) Tells you when the market is overbought. When it drops back to the 40 to 50 range after a peak, that could be a good re-entry point. Fibonacci Retracement A tool to find attractive correction zones after a pump. Especially useful if you combine multiple timeframes. ⚖️ Stop Loss Is Necessary, But Take Profit Is More Important Always place a stop loss in the market. But many forget to set a take profit in bullish markets. Having a take profit level ensures you lock in gains when the market hits your target and avoid greed. Key point: Even if you expect huge pumps, take some profit on time to avoid losing it all during corrections. 🪙 The Next Pump Is Just Around the Corner Instead of jumping into a pump mid-way, focus on spotting setups just forming. Watch for consolidation candles, rising volume, and reactions to classic zones. That’s where you can enter professionally, even before everyone knows what’s coming. 🛠 Game Plan for the Trader Who Fell Behind Pick three coins that haven’t pumped yet Test the tools mentioned on them Set alerts for logical entry signals Enter with risk management, not emotion Most importantly analyze, don’t just follow 📌 Summary and Final Advice If you missed the market pump, don’t worry; crypto markets always offer opportunities you just need to be prepared. A combination of analysis, professional tools, and smart choices between new and established assets can help you not only catch the next pump but ride it ahead of everyone else. ✨ Need a little love! We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.

Signal-to-Noise Ratio: The Most Misunderstood Truth in Trading █ Signal-to-Noise Ratio: The Most Misunderstood Truth in Quant Trading Most traders obsess over indicators, signals, models, and strategies. But few ask the one question that defines whether any of it actually works: ❝ How strong is the signal — compared to the noise? ❞ Welcome to the concept of Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) — the invisible force behind why some strategies succeed and most fail. █ What Is Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR)? ⚪ In simple terms: Signal = the real, meaningful, repeatable part of a price move Noise = random fluctuations, market chaos, irrelevant variation SNR = Signal Strength / Noise Level If your signal is weak and noise is high, your edge gets buried. If your signal is strong and noise is low, you can extract alpha with confidence. In trading, SNR is like trying to hear a whisper in a hurricane. The whisper is your alpha. The hurricane is the market. █ Why SNR Matters (More Than Sharpe, More Than Accuracy) Most strategies die not because they’re logically flawed — but because they’re trying to extract signal in a low SNR environment. Financial markets are dominated by noise. The real edge (if it exists) is usually tiny and fleeting. Even strong-looking backtests can be false positives created by fitting noise. Every quant failure story you’ve ever heard — overfitting, false discoveries, bad AI models — starts with misunderstanding the signal-to-noise ratio. █ SNR in the Age of AI Machine learning struggles in markets because: Most market data has very low SNR The signal changes over time (nonstationarity) AI is powerful enough to learn anything — including pure noise This means unless you’re careful, your AI will confidently “discover” patterns that have no predictive value whatsoever. Smart quants don’t just train models. They fight for SNR — every input, feature, and label is scrutinized through this lens. █ How to Measure It (Sharpe, t-stat, IC) You can estimate a strategy’s SNR with: Sharpe Ratio: Signal = mean return, Noise = volatility t-Statistic: Measures how confident you are that signal ≠ 0 Information Coefficient (IC): Correlation between forecast and realized return 👉 A high Sharpe or t-stat suggests strong signal vs noise 👉 A low value means your “edge” might just be noise in disguise █ Real-World SNR: Why It's So Low in Markets The average daily return of SPX is ~0.03% The daily standard deviation is ~1% That's signal-to-noise of 1:30 — and that's for the entire market, not a niche alpha. Now imagine what it looks like for your scalping strategy, your RSI tweak, or your AI momentum model. This is why most trading signals don’t survive live markets — the noise is just too loud. █ How to Build Strategies With Higher SNR To survive as a trader, you must engineer around low SNR. Here's how: 1. Combine signals One weak signal = low SNR 100 uncorrelated weak signals = high aggregate SNR 2. Filter noise before acting Use volatility filters, regime detection, thresholds Trade only when signal strength exceeds noise level 3. Test over longer horizons Short-term = more noise Long-term = signal has more time to emerge 4. Avoid excessive optimization Every parameter you tweak risks modeling noise Simpler systems = less overfit = better SNR integrity 5. Validate rigorously Walk-forward, OOS testing, bootstrapping — treat your model like it’s guilty until proven innocent █ Low SNR = High Uncertainty In low-SNR environments: Alpha takes years to confirm (t-stat grows slowly) Backtests are unreliable (lucky noise often looks like skill) Drawdowns happen randomly (even good strategies get wrecked short-term) This is why experience, skepticism, and humility matter more than flashy charts. If your signal isn’t strong enough to consistently rise above noise, it doesn’t matter how elegant it looks. █ Overfitting Is What Happens When You Fit the Noise If you’ve read Why Your Backtest Lies , you already know the dangers of overfitting — when a strategy is tuned too perfectly to historical data and fails the moment it meets reality. ⚪ Here’s the deeper truth: Overfitting is the natural consequence of working in a low signal-to-noise environment. When markets are 95% noise and you optimize until everything looks perfect? You're not discovering a signal. You're just fitting past randomness — noise that will never repeat the same way again. ❝ The more you optimize in a low-SNR environment, the more confident you become in something that isn’t real. ❞ This is why so many “flawless” backtests collapse in live trading. Because they never captured signal — they captured noise. █ Final Word Quant trading isn’t about who can code the most indicators or build the deepest neural nets. It’s about who truly understands this: ❝ In a world full of noise, only the most disciplined signal survives. ❞ Before you build your next model, launch your next strategy, or chase your next setup… Ask this: ❝ Am I trading signal — or am I trading noise? ❞ If you don’t know the answer, you're probably doing the latter. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.

Education

Advanced Order Types in ECN Trading Advanced Order Types in ECN Trading Electronic Communication Networks (ECN) have transformed the landscape of financial trading, offering direct market access and enhanced transparency. Central to ECN trading is the use of various order types, each tailored to specific strategies and risk management approaches. This article delves into advanced order types, providing traders with essential knowledge for navigating this dynamic trading environment. Understanding ECN Trading Electronic Communication Network (ECN) trading represents a pivotal development in financial markets, offering a pathway for traders to connect directly with each other without requiring intermediaries. This system functions through an electronic network that efficiently matches buy and sell trades, contributing to greater transparency and tighter spreads in the market. In an ECN environment, traders can see the best available bid and ask prices, along with the market depth, which includes potential entries from various market participants. This visibility into the market's order book enables more informed decision-making as traders gain insights into potential market movements and liquidity. A key advantage of ECNs is the anonymity they provide, enabling traders to execute transactions without exposing their strategy. This feature is particularly effective for large-volume traders who wish to avoid market impact. ECN brokers, tend to offer lower costs compared to traditional market makers, as they typically charge a fixed commission per transaction rather than relying on the bid-ask spread. Such a cost structure can be advantageous for active traders and those employing high-frequency trading strategies. Basic Market Order Types Explained Forex and CFD trading involves several different order types, each serving unique strategies and goals. Among the most fundamental are market, limit and stop orders: - Market: This type allows traders to buy or sell an asset at the current price. It's designed to offer immediate execution, making it ideal for traders who prioritise speed over control. They’re used when certainty of execution is more important than the execution price. - Limit: Limit orders enable traders to specify the level at which they wish to buy or sell. A buy limit is set below the current price, while a sell limit is above. This type is used when traders seek to control the rate, accepting the risk of the entry not being filled if the market doesn’t reach their specified level. - Stop: Stop orders act as a trigger for a trade. When the asset reaches the specified stop level, the stop becomes a market entry and executes a trade at the current price. It's a simple yet effective way to enter or exit the market at a predetermined point. Advanced ECN Order Types Advanced order types offer traders nuanced control over their transactions, catering to specific strategies and risk management needs. Here, we delve into three types: stop losses, trailing stops, and icebergs. - Stop Loss: These are designed to limit a trader's loss on a position. A stop-loss order automatically sells (or buys, in the case of a short position) when the asset hits a predefined level. This tool is crucial in risk management, as it helps traders cap potential losses without the need to constantly monitor the charts. - Trailing Stop: Trailing stop orders provide a dynamic way to manage risk. Instead of setting a fixed exit level like in a stop loss, a trailing stop moves with the current price at a set distance, potentially allowing traders to secure returns automatically as the market moves favourably, and adjusts to potentially protect against adverse moves. - Iceberg: Named for the way only a small part of the total transaction is visible to the market, icebergs are used to buy or sell large quantities with small transactions. They prevent significant market impact, which could occur from a large trade and provide more discreet execution. Stop Limit Orders Explained In ECN trading, stop limit orders are an intricate yet powerful tool, blending the characteristics of stop and limit orders. A stop limit order type involves two prices: the stop price, which triggers the trade, and the limit price, at which the entry will be executed. It offers more control than a basic limit or stop order by specifying the exact range within which a trade should occur. In a stop-limit buy order explained example, the stop price is set above the current price, and the limit price is set higher than the stop price. Once the stop level is reached, it becomes an order to buy at the limit price or better. It ensures that the trader does not pay more than a predetermined price. The difference between a limit order and a stop order lies in their execution. A limit is executed at a specified value or better, but it doesn't guarantee execution. A stop, on the other hand, triggers at a specified price and then becomes a market entry executed at the current price. Stop limits merge these features, offering a targeted range for execution and combining the certainty of a stop order with the control of a limit order. Conditional Orders In ECN trading, conditional orders are sophisticated tools enabling traders to implement complex strategies. Here are the key types: - One-Cancels-the-Other (OCO): An OCO links two orders; when one executes, the other is automatically cancelled. It's useful when setting up simultaneous profit and loss targets. - One-Triggers-Another (OTA): An OTA activates a secondary instruction only after the primary order executes. They’re ideal for those planning successive actions based on initial trade execution. - Ladder: This involves setting multiple orders at varying levels. As the market hits each level, a new order activates, allowing for gradual execution. They’re effective in managing entry and exit strategies in volatile assets. - Order By Date (OBD): OBDs are time-based, executing on a specified date. It’s particularly useful for those looking to align their trades with specific events or timelines. The Bottom Line Mastering advanced order types in ECN trading may equip traders with the tools necessary for more effective strategy execution and risk management. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Education

WHY DO YOU KEEP ASKING ABOUT PRICE SO MUCH?WHY DO YOU KEEP ASKING ABOUT PRICE SO MUCH? The problem lies in the wrong frame of reference when you first enter the market. Faulty input leads to flawed thinking, resulting in poor actions and bad outcomes. I constantly receive questions like: “Can I buy at this price yet?” “Should I wait for a lower price?” “Is this the bottom?” “BTC is at 108k, is it still good to LONG?” “It’s at 123k now, will it go to 180k?” All of these revolve around PRICE, but in reality, price isn't what you should focus on. What's important is understanding market movements and trends. Many of you DCA blindly at resistance, support, or based on on-chain data, thinking the price will reverse or bounce… but it doesn’t. So why? --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let me give you an analogy: Imagine you're hiking the Alps. You start early in the morning. When you're tired, you rest. When the scenery is beautiful, you stop and enjoy it. When you're thirsty or hungry, you take a break. Eventually, you reach the top (PEAK). Did you ever ask your friend along the way: "How many meters have we climbed?" "How many meters left to the top?" Of course not. You just know you're ascending, and when you reach the peak, you’ll know. Uptrend is like climbing up, downtrend is climbing down. You don’t need to know your exact altitude — you just need to know whether you’re going up or down, and when you’re at the top, you’ll feel it. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The market is the same. When it goes up, you know it’s going up. When it goes down, you know it’s going down. When it’s the peak, you’ll know. When it’s the bottom, you’ll feel it. There's no need to obsess over: “Is this the top?” “Is this the bottom?” Why? Because when you're fixated on the real-time price, without understanding market movement, you’re being led by price — not leading your trades. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- In summary: Stop letting price control your mind. Focus on trends and market movement, and you’ll know where you are. When climbing, you know you’re climbing. When peaking, you’ll know it’s time to pause. Simple as that.

Education

by rainbow_sniper

Why Risk Management Is Your Only Real Superpower in Trading Many traders obsess over entries, indicators, or finding the “perfect” strategy… But the real longevity in this game comes from how you manage risk — not how often you’re right. Obviously it all starts with using stop loss. I hope you already know it. We all learned lessons in trying to enter the top / bottom and it was really not the top/ bottom yet. ✅ Always use Stop Loss. Interestingly more then 50% failed prop challenges are because traders dont use a stop loss. Now your stop loss should always be adjusted to the market structure. Not always same lot size Obviously some short-term scalping can be done with the fixed SL and TP distance. But most of strategies needs to adjust SL to the current structure. And here come the problem. Many traders use still same lot size even when the stop loss distance is different and thats the problem. Let me just show you on 2 examples of series of trades. We count with 5 identical trade setups Let's assume we had 5 trades 1 winner and 4 losses. 📌 1) Using always same position size on 10K account - Outcome of trades is various - 1 win with fixed lot was small. Instead of fixed lot we could use higher lot size as the SL distance was small. This trade didnt covered other losses. - Losses of other trades are various - psychological affect - uncertainty increasing fear of loss - total result after is -273 pips - minus 2.7% and - $273 📌 2) Calculated risk 1.5% for each trade - we risk 1.5% for each trade by adjusting lot size - You always know how much you loose if you loose. - You can maximize profits on high RR trades. - Every trade will have same % value in your series of trades. This makes your statistics working - first trade has made huge profit - other 4 losses were 1.5% each - first trade covered losses and even made gains - we again ended in minus 273 pips BUT +$337 IN MONEY / AND + 3.37% PROFIT 📌 Final Conclusion Although we modeled 5 completely same trading setups in first example we ended up loosing in pips and money. While in the second example with the completely identical setups we ended in profit and more stability of on our account but also with psychological preservation. And this is power of risk management and it has much bigger impact especially to our trading psychology which is 80% of success. 🧠 Psychological Importance of Risk Management: 🧪 Reduces emotional pressure When your capital is protected, you stop making desperate, fear-based decisions. 🧪 Builds confidence in your strategy Knowing you’re safe even if a trade fails allows you to focus on execution, not outcome. 🧪 Eliminates fear of losing Small, controlled losses become part of the process — not something to avoid or fear. 🧪Improves consistency and discipline Following rules forces you to act like a professional, not a gambler. 🧪 Prevents burnout and mental fatigue Managing risk = managing stress. Overexposure to loss drains your mental capital, not just your account. 📌 Final tip There is no strategy on the world which is only winning. Losses are normal. Same like restaurant owner has a cost with rent and salaries for employees. We as a trader has cost of the doing the business in losses. You cant avoid them. One loss out of 4 trades is nothing. But what if you get in to a loosing streak like me in the may? How did I survive? Many people would start doubting the strategy , doing the changes, switching to trading different markets etc.. But NO, if you know your statistical data and stick with the your risk management it will keeps you going. You know that even 75% win rate doesnt guarantee that you cant get in to a loosing streak. 75% winning ratio means that out of 100 trades you will win 75. But still there is 25 looters. And you never know what would be distribution of wins and losses. So you keep going and its only possible if you calculate risk per trade and know how much is your max loss per trade not by using same lot size for random stop loss distance. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter

Education

Learn 2 Essential Elements of Forex Gold Trading In the today's post, we will discuss how Forex Gold trading is structured, and I will share with you its 2 key milestones. Trading with its nuances and complexities can be explained as the interconnections of two processes: trading rules creation and trading rules following. 1️⃣ With the trading rules, you define what you will trade and how exactly, classifying your entry and exist conditions, risk and trade management rules. Such a set of consistent trading rules compose a trading strategy. For example, you can have a following trading plan: you trade only gold, you analyze the market with technical analysis, you buy from a key support and sell from a key resistance on a daily, your entry confirmation is a formation of a reversal candlestick pattern. You set stop loss above the high/low of the pattern, and your target is the closest support/resistance level. Here is how the trading setup would look like. In the charts above, all the conditions for the trade are met, and the market nicely reached the take profit. 2️⃣ Trading strategy development is a very simple process. You can find hundreds of different ones on the internet and start using one immediately. The main obstacle comes, however, with Following Trading Rules. Following the rules is our second key milestone. It defines your ability to stay disciplined and to stick to your trading plan. It implies the control of emotions, patience and avoidance of rationalization. Once you open a trade, following your rules, challenges are just beginning. Imagine how happy you would feel yourself, seeing how nicely gold is moving to your target after position opening. And how your mood would change, once the price quickly returns to your entry. Watching how your profits evaporate and how the initially winning position turns into a losing one, emotions will constantly intervene. In such situations, many traders break their rules , they start adjusting tp or stop loss or just close the trading, not being able to keep holding. The ability to follow your system is a very hard skill to acquire. It requires many years of practicing. So if you believe that a good trading strategy is what you need to make money, please, realize the fact that even the best trading strategy in the world will lose without consistency and discipline. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.

Education

by VasilyTrader

Need a trading strategy to avoid FOMO Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- 1D chart is the standard chart for all time frame charts. In other words, if you trade according to the trend of the 1D chart, you can make profits while minimizing losses. This can also be seen from the fact that most indicators are created based on the 1D chart. In that sense, the M-Signal indicators of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are suitable indicators for confirming trends. If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is highly likely that the upward trend will continue in the medium to long term, so it is recommended to take note of this advantage especially when trading spot. The M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart shows the medium-term and short-term trends. The M-Signal indicator uses the MACD indicator formula, but it can be seen as a price moving average. You can trade with just the price moving average, but it is difficult to select support and resistance points, and it is not very useful in actual trading because it cannot cope with volatility. However, it is a useful indicator when analyzing charts or checking general trends. Therefore, what we can know with the M-Signal indicator (price moving average) is the interrelationship between the M-Signal indicators. You can predict the trend by checking how far apart and close the M-Signal indicators are, and then checking the direction. - If you have confirmed the trend with the M-Signal indicator, you need support and resistance points for actual trading. Support and resistance points should be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. The order of the roles of support and resistance points is 1M > 1W > 1D charts. However, the strength of the role of support and resistance points can be seen depending on how long the horizontal line is. Usually, in order to perform the role of support and resistance points, at least 3 candles or more form a horizontal line. Therefore, caution is required when trading when the number of candles is less than 3. The indicators created considering this point are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart and indicate when the Heikin-Ashi candle turns upward or downward. Therefore, the creation of the HA-Low indicator means that there is a high possibility of an upward turn. In other words, if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy. However, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should also consider a countermeasure for this. The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that there is a high possibility of a downward turn. In other words, if there is resistance from the HA-High indicator, it is a time to sell. However, if it rises from the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward turn, so you should also consider a countermeasure for this. This is where a dilemma arises. What I mean is that the fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that there is a high possibility of a downward turn, so you know that there is a high possibility of a downward turn, but if it receives support and rises, you think that you can make a large profit through a stepwise upward turn, so you fall into a dilemma. This is caused by greed that arises from falling into FOMO due to price volatility. The actual purchase time should have been when it showed support near the HA-Low indicator, but when it showed a downward turn, it ended up suffering a large loss due to the psychology of wanting to buy, which became the trigger for leaving the investment. Therefore, if you failed to buy at the purchase time, you should also know how to wait until the purchase time comes. - It seems that you can trade depending on whether the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are supported, but the task of checking whether it is supported is quite difficult and tiring. Therefore, to complement the shortcomings of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, the DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators were added. The DOM(-60) indicator indicates the end of the low point. Therefore, if it shows support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it is the purchase time. If it falls below the DOM(-60) indicator, it means that a stepwise downtrend is likely to begin. The DOM(60) indicator indicates the end of the high point. Therefore, if it is supported and rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it means that a stepwise uptrend is likely to begin. If it is resisted and falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it is likely that a downtrend will begin. With this, the basic trading strategy is complete. This is the basic trading strategy of buying when it rises in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and selling when it falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. For this, the trading method must adopt a split trading method. Although not necessarily, if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it will show a sharp decline, and if it rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it will show a sharp rise. Due to this volatility, psychological turmoil causes people to start trading based on the price, which increases their distrust in the investment market and eventually leads them to leave the investment market. - When looking at the movement of the 1D chart, it can be seen that it is not possible to proceed with trading at the moment because it is already showing a stepwise upward trend. However, since there is a SHORT position in futures trading, trading is possible at any time. In any case, it is difficult to select a time to buy because the 1D chart shows a stepwise upward trend. However, looking at the time frame chart below the 1D chart can help you select a time to buy. The basic trading strategy is always the same. Buy when it rises in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and sell when it falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. Currently, since the 1D chart is continuing a stepwise upward trend, the main position is to eventually proceed with a long position. Therefore, if possible, you should focus on finding the right time to buy. However, if it falls below the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart, the possibility of a downtrend increases, so at that time, you should focus on finding the right time to sell. In other words, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1D chart is generated at the 115845.8 point, you should think of different response methods depending on whether the price is above or below the 115845.8 point. Therefore, when trading futures, increase the investment ratio when trading with the main position (a position that matches the trend of the 1D chart), and decrease the investment ratio when trading with the secondary position (a position that is different from the trend of the 1D chart) and respond quickly and quickly. When trading in the spot market, you have no choice but to trade in the direction of the 1D chart trend, so you should buy and then sell in installments whenever it shows signs of turning downward to secure profits. In other words, buy near the HA-Low indicator on the 30m chart, and if the price rises and the HA-High indicator is created, sell in installments near that area. - You should determine your trading strategy, trading method, and profit realization method by considering these interrelationships, and then trade mechanically accordingly. If you trade only with fragmentary movements, you will likely end up suffering losses. This is because you do not cut your losses. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------

Education

Portfolio Destruction In Bull Markets = Greed Without Strategy When the market is bullish, everyone thinks whatever they buy will make a profit. But does a rising price really mean you’re winning? Or are you just chasing an illusion? What kills most traders is greedy trading without a clear plan even when the market is green! Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Dogecoin : 🚀 After breaking out of its daily downtrend channel, BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is now testing a strong support zone near the 0.5 Fibonacci level. This setup suggests the potential for a further 20% upside, with the main target around 0.24. Now, let's dive into the educational section, 🧨 When the market is green fear should grow In bearish markets people are cautious But in bull runs everyone fears missing out This phase is exactly what pumpers love Why Because they know people are ready to chase every green candle Are you actually profiting or just running after profits If you do not have a strategy if your exit points are not clear if you do not know when to take profits You are giving the game away to others 🕳️ Illusion of control traders’ silent enemy When a few trades go well you think you have got the market figured out But actually the market has you This sense of control mixed with greed leads to heavy risking skipping stop losses or riding fake pumps to the end What is the solution Only strategy No influencer hype no social media noise no candle colors. 📊 Smart use of TradingView’s tools: Many traders decide with emotions not data But with a few simple TradingView tools you can base your decisions on data not feelings One of the most practical indicators to spot overbought conditions or excessive greed is the RSI When RSI goes above seventy it means the market is in a hype phase That is when many blindly jump in A simple method Add RSI to your favorite crypto chart and check if a pump happened in the overbought zone Another tool Volume Profile shows you the price levels with the highest trading volume When price hits an area with very low volume behind it be cautious This could be a fake top A golden tip Use TradingView Alerts Instead of constantly staring at charts set alerts for when RSI passes seventy five or price reaches a suspicious zone Then get notified instantly This way you let data guide you not momentary excitement And this is exactly where you separate yourself from an unplanned greedy trader 💡 Summary and advice Trading without strategy whether in bull or bear markets puts your capital at risk sooner or later You can’t remove greed but you can control it TradingView tools exist for exactly this reason to help you think before you act Profit comes from planning not from chasing the next pump ✨ Need a little love! We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.

Education

2025 Trading Final Boss: Daily Market Manipulation, The New Norm Marking this point in history because we'll likely forget and move on. During the early hours of the July 16th NYC session, we saw indices quickly flush ( CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! ) nearly 1% on the news that Trump will fire Jerome Powell. The dip was bought almost instantly. Shortly after the dip was bought (roughly 0.50% recovery), guess what? Trump announced, he is "not considering firing Jerome Powell". The dip then recovered and achieved a complete V to finish the day somewhat green. Make what you want of it but always use a stop loss in these tough conditions. Welcome to 2025 Trading Final Boss

Education

From Liquidation to Withdrawal, It’s the Map Do you remember your first heavy loss? That exact moment when you realized trading isn’t just about patterns and candles? This analysis is for you if you’re looking for a path to escape that liquidation pit and actually make your first real withdrawal. No hype, no signals just a practical roadmap built on experience and mistakes. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Cardano: BINANCE:ADAUSDT is testing a crucial daily support near the 0.38 Fibonacci retracement level, setting up for a potential 16% upside toward the key psychological and monthly resistance at $1. If this level holds, ADA could confirm bullish momentum and target higher levels soon. 📊🚀 Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🧭 It All Starts With the Tools Before anything else, you need a compass and in trading, that compass is made of tools you can actually use on TradingView. Here are some tools that serious traders never ignore, especially when analyzing crowd behavior and institutional traps: Volume Profile (Fixed Range) Shows you where money is actually concentrated, not just where price is. High-volume nodes often become breakout or breakdown zones in days ahead. Liquidity Zones – Custom Indicators Search for "liquidity" or "order block" in the Indicators section. There are tons of free community scripts that help you spot stop-loss clusters the exact places where the market loves to hunt. Relative Volume (RVOL) Tells you how strong the current market move is compared to its average volume. Is this a real breakout, or just noise? RVOL helps answer that. Session Volume & Time-Based Boxes Use drawing tools to box London, New York, or Asia sessions. This lets you track where real money enters. Time matters volume without time is meaningless. Got the tools? Great. But now what? Let’s walk the path... 🚪 The Entry Point: First Liquidation Almost every trader starts here: a signal, a rushed entry, a tight stop... then liquidation or a brutal margin call. But that exact moment? It’s not your failure. It’s the beginning of your real journey. Ask yourself: Why did I take that trade? What tool was available but ignored? Was my position size reasonable or emotional? Analyze this moment deeper than you analyze Bitcoin’s chart. 🔁 Repeat or Reroute? This is the loop most traders never escape. They stay stuck between losses because they don’t reflect, don’t learn, and don’t adjust. What you should do instead: Start a trade journal raw and honest. Use TradingView as your lab, not just a chart. Practice, backtest, fail, and fix. 🧠 Turning Point: Where Your Mind Starts Trading Once you stop chasing profit and start chasing clarity, things shift. You begin spotting real triggers, real volume, and real market intent. Here’s where tools become meaningful: Use OBV to confirm volume alignment Let RSI tell you about weakness before reversal Follow EMA50/EMA200 to map trend structure Not because someone told you to but because now you know why and when to use them. 🤑 The First Real Withdrawal Isn’t From Your Wallet The first "withdrawal" isn’t a bank transfer. It’s when you can walk away from the market without FOMO, without guilt, and without overtrading. You now: Accept risk, every single trade Respect the market, not fear it Have patience not because you're lazy, but because you understand timing That’s the real payout. 📌 Final Thoughts The path to becoming a trader starts with loss, grows with tools, and ends with discipline. TradingView isn’t just for charts it’s your practice field. Before chasing the next win, start by understanding your last mistake. ✨ Need a little love! We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.

Education

5 Proven Tricks to Trade Without FOMO After Missing Your Trigger Yo traders! In this video, I’m breaking down what to do if you miss a trading trigger , so you can stay calm , avoid FOMO , and still catch the next move. We’re diving into five solid strategies to re-enter the market without losing your cool: Buy on the pullback zone. Buy with an engulfing candle after a pullback. Buy after breaking the resistance formed by the pullback. Buy after the second wave with an indecision candle. Buy after breaking a major resistance post-second wave, confirmed by RSI or momentum oscillators. These tips are all about keeping your trades smart and your head in the game. For more on indecision candles, check out this lesson . Wanna master breakout trading? Here’s the breakout trading guide . Drop your thoughts in the comments, boost if you vibe with it, and let’s grow together! 😎

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05:42

Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better Entries If you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement. In this post, you’ll learn: What Fibonacci retracement is Why it works How to use it on your charts (step-by-step) Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market 🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?: Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback. It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets. The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number. The key Fibonacci levels traders use are: 23.6% 38.2% 50% 61.8% 78.6% These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following. 💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level: 💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback What it indicates: Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum. Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend. Best action: Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders. Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation. 💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest What it indicates: Healthy pullback in a trending market. Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in. Best action: Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups. Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades. Stop Loss 0.618 Level 💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground What it indicates: Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move. Market is undecided, can go either way. Best action: Wait for additional confirmation before entering. Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone. Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels 💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio” What it indicates: Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal. High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions. Best action: Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles). Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward. Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves). Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level 💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone What it indicates: Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses. Risk of trend failure is higher. Best action: Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence. Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned. Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets. Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels ⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders: Day trading: Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts. They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations. Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders. However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals. Swing trading: Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks. They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades. Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective. 🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?: Fibonacci levels work because of: Mass psychology – many traders use them Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly. 🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step): Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run. ✏️ Follow These Steps: Identify the swing low (start of move) Identify the swing high (end of move) Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move) The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc. These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them. 🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later) Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding. 📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example: 1.First we Identify the direction of the market: 2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point: Lets zoom in a bit: Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence: Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high: This will act as our entry point for the trade. 3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels: Stop Loss: For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations Take Profit: For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits. Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example: This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow. After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point. As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction. 🔻 In a downtrend: Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback. XAU/USD Example: As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well. ⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy: ✅ Always use Fib in confluence with: Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows) Key support/resistance zones Volume or momentum indicators Candle Patterns Elliott Waves, etc. ❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees. 📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily) 💡 Final Thought Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react. When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike. 🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets. 💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!

Education

by WrightWayInvestments

Congestion Action vs Congestion Exit – Mastering the Transition When markets go quiet and churn sideways, it’s easy to get lost in the noise. But inside that congestion lies opportunity — if you understand the difference between "Congestion Action" and "Congestion Exit." Here’s how to apply Drummond Geometry to trade these phases with precision: 🔹 Congestion Action Congestion action is when the market is not ready to trend — it's swinging back and forth within a defined range, between a strong block level and a well-established dotted line. Think of it as a "resting zone" before the next directional move. 📏 Original Confines: Highest high and lowest low after a congestion entrance as shown on the chart 🚧 Expanded Confines: Price temporarily breaks out of the range but doesn’t establish a trend (3 closes on the came side of the PLdot (blue line)). 🧲 This is where scalpers and range traders thrive. Look for setups near envelope confines and use nearby energy fields. ✅ Trade Plan: Play the range — buy support, sell resistance — until proven otherwise. 🔸 Congestion Exit This is when the market transitions from ranging to trending — a trend run begins from within the congestion zone. 🚀 First bar of a new trend closes outside the congestion confines (either the block level (highest high on the chart) or the dotted line (the low on the chart)). 📊 The next bar must confirm with a trend run close — if not, it’s a failed breakout. You can see on the chart that price tried to trend lower but the trend was not confirmed! ⚡ Patterns to watch: Energy pushing in the direction of the exit (PL Dot push, c-wave continuation). 6-1 lines against the breakout direction disappear.(Not visible in this version) Resistance/support against the exit breaks. ✅ Trade Plan: Enter on breakout confirmation, not just the breakout bar. Measure energy and watch the follow-through. 🧭 Tip: Don't get faked out. If price re-enters congestion after a breakout, re-draw the boundaries — the old congestion is no longer valid. 🔥 Bottom Line: Congestion Action is where the market breathes. Congestion Exit is where it moves. Mastering the handoff between the two gives you a decisive edge.

Education

wall Street has set camp on Satoshi's backyard...Bitcoin didn’t just wake up and choose violence. It chose velocity. As BTC blasts through the six-figure ceiling and fiddles $120k with laser precision, everyone’s pointing to “the halving” like it’s some magical switch. But let's be real, Bitcoin bull runs don’t run on fairy dust and hope. They run on liquidity, macro dislocations, structural demand shifts, and a pinch of regulatory chaos. Here’s the nerdy breakdown of what’s really driving the Bitcoin Rocketship (and why this one’s different): 1. The Halving Effect (Not Just the Halving) Yes, the April 2024 halving slashed miner rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC. But this time, the reflexivity is louder. Miners now have to sell less, and buyers (especially ETFs) have to beg for more. Miners = Reduced Sell Pressure. ETFs = Constant Buy Pressure. That’s a one-way order book squeeze. Simple math, but powerful dynamics. 2. ETF Flows: The "Spot" That Launched a Thousand Rallies When the SEC finally gave the green light to Bitcoin spot ETFs, TradFi didn’t walk in—they stormed in. Think BlackRock, Fidelity, and friends becoming daily buyers. It's not retail FOMO anymore, it's Wall Street with billions in dry powder doing dollar-cost averaging with institutional consistency. 🧠 Nerd Note: The top 5 U.S. spot ETFs alone are now hoarding more BTC than MicroStrategy. 3. Dollar Liquidity is Leaking Again Despite Fed jawboning, real rates are still under pressure and global liquidity is quietly creeping back. Look at the TGA drawdowns, reverse repo usage, and China’s stealth QE. Bitcoin, being the apex predator of liquidity, smells it from a mile away. “In a world flooded with fiat, Bitcoin doesn’t float. It flies.” 4. Sovereigns Are Quietly Watching El Salvador lit the match. Now, Argentina, Turkey, and even Gulf countries are tiptoeing toward a Bitcoin pivot, hedging USD exposure without broadcasting it to CNN. Central banks don’t need to love BTC to stack it. They just need to fear the dollar system enough. 5. Scarcity Narrative Goes 3D With 99% of BTC supply already mined and over 70% HODLed for over 6 months, every new buyer is bidding for a smaller slice of the pie. ETFs and institutions are trying to drink from a faucet that only drips. This is not a market with elastic supply. This is financial physics with a scarcity twist. 6. Market Microstructure is Fragile AF Order books are thin. Real liquidity is fragmented. And the sell-side has PTSD from getting blown out at $70k. This creates a “skateboard-on-a-freeway” scenario, when a few billion in inflows hit, prices don’t just rise. They gap. Nerdy Bonus: The Memecoin Effect (No, Really) The memecoin mania on Solana, Base, and Ethereum has been injecting dopamine into degens—and their profits are increasingly flowing into the OG digital gold. It’s the 2021 cycle all over again, just with more liquidity bridges and fewer inhibitions. Nerdy Insight: The Bull Run Has Layers What’s driving BTC to $120,000 isn’t a single headline. It’s a stacked convergence of macro, structure, psychology, and coded scarcity. Bitcoin isn’t “going up” just because of hope or halving hype. It’s going up because it’s the cleanest asset in a dirty system, and now both retail and institutions agree. Still shorting? That’s not “fading the crowd.” That’s fighting thermodynamics. Stay nerdy, stay sharp. put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile

Education

by currencynerd

The only key levels you need - DITCH THE INDICATORS - Previous day high/Low - Weekly high/low - Session high/low - Closing Price In this specific example on OANDA:AUDUSD we have a day 3 Tuesday breakout fail reversal setup on the backside of a previous weeks expansion. Fridays closing price was plotted going into Monday day 2 on the backside of a new week. Once the initial high low was set on day 2 below the previous weeks high and closing price we than look for short opportunities going into day 3 Tuesday. In this case day 2 Ny session high acted as the reversal point staying below Friday closing price below the high of the previous week. The Asia/London session printed a beautiful high/low range reversing at near the midpoint of the previous days range (50% retrace.) A great opportunity for a projected range expansion presented with confluence at a previous days low giving a solid set and forget trade with little to no stress or heat. This parabolic opportunity took place in the NY session below Fridays closing price to a previous weeks LOD level. - Mondays High (Stop) - NY session High, Fridays Close (Entry) - Wed Low, Range expansion (Target) KEY NOTES: It is very important to keep your trading simple. As a newer trader I filled my chart with as many indicators as possible trying to find a "signal" because I lacked the patience for the market to give me a setup over multiple days. Now as a more experienced trader I sit back on higher time frames (1H/15M) TO WAIT FOR THE DAILY LEVELS TO PRINT. Avoiding trading inside a range on a low time frame. Lower time frames are only to decrease risk and increase position accuracy already derived from higher time frames. It is key to understand when higher time frame traders are triggered into a market and to understand there are only two main plays from key levels. Keep it simple, find the scalable setups, AND PUT THE SIZE ON WITH CONFIDENCE.

Education

by GiancarloZacc

The Right Way to Manage Stop Loss: Dynamic Logic for Smart Exits Context In fast-moving markets, static stop losses often sabotage good trades by exiting too soon or too late. This approach uses dynamic, logic-driven stop loss adjustments that adapt to market context instead of sticking to a single fixed distance. ⸻ Key Principles of This Stop Loss Logic Contextual Initial Placement The stop is never just a fixed percentage below entry. It adapts based on recent swing lows/highs, ATR volatility, and trend confirmation signals. Dynamic Extension in Favorable Conditions If price retraces but shows bullish reversal evidence such as deep oversold signals, positive divergence, or compression breakouts, the stop loss is extended instead of closing immediately. This prevents cutting winners during normal pullbacks. Tightening When Momentum Fades If momentum weakens (for example, ADX drops, failed bounce, or resistance rejection), the stop is tightened dynamically. This reduces drawdown if the trend fails. Clear Exit Triggers The system can exit on consolidation breakdowns below support, confirmed bearish reversal patterns, or time-based exits if no continuation happens. ⸻ Examples and Visuals Below, I’ve included chart examples with screenshots from my Multi Crossover Strategy . These images illustrate how dynamic stop loss management behaves in real conditions—showing entries, extensions during retracements, and exits triggered by different scenarios. You can see how the logic responds to changing volatility and trend strength in real time. The "+" signs mark bars where the position would have closed using the default settings of 2.5 ATR Multiplier stop loss. A bullish reversal signal extended the stop, allowing the trade to close profitably instead of at a loss. This example shows an early exit triggered by a consolidation breakdown. The system closed the position before the maximum stop loss was reached, limiting the loss as bearish momentum increased. Example for lower high close to reduce loss. Here, the position was closed after a failed bounce and the formation of a lower high, signaling a likely continuation of the downtrend and helping to reduce the loss before a deeper move. ⸻ Advantages Over Simple Stop Losses Adaptation Stops react to volatility and price structure, not arbitrary distances. Risk Mitigation Dynamic tightening locks in gains faster when momentum fades. Confidence to Stay In Dynamic extension reduces the chance of premature exits during healthy retracements. ⸻ How to Use This Approach When designing your strategy, start by defining a volatility-adjusted stop using an ATR multiplier as the base distance from entry. You can then set a maximum allowable loss in percentage terms to cap risk exposure to a fixed threshold. After establishing your initial stop, consider adding layered adjustments that respond to different levels of reversal risk. For example: ATR Multiplier: the factor used to calculate the initial stop distance based on market volatility. Maximum Loss (%): the maximum risk per trade, defined as a percentage below the entry price. Tight Stop Loss (%): a closer stop level that activates when early signs of a potential reversal appear, such as weakening momentum or minor bearish movement. Bearish Stop Loss (%): a further tightening of the stop distance when stronger bearish reversal signals occur, including failed bounce attempts, lower highs, or clear resistance rejections. This level reduces the tolerance for further losses but still allows the trade to remain open if price stabilizes. Extended Stop Loss Percentage Add-On: an additional percentage beyond the maximum loss cap, temporarily applied if strong bullish recovery signals appear. In addition to these percentage-based stop adjustments, you can define instant exit rules that immediately close the position as soon as specific structural conditions are met. Unlike percentage-based stops, instant exits do not wait for further price movement or confirmation. They are typically used to react to decisive events such as a confirmed breakdown below support, a lower high after a failed bounce, or a sharp rejection at a resistance level. This combination of tightened stops and instant exit triggers allows for a flexible but disciplined approach to managing trades. Pro Tip: Most traders lose because their stops don’t evolve with the trade. Build a logic tree: If trend = strong ➡ extend stop If reversal risk ➡ tighten stop If clear reversal signs ➡ exit ⸻ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research before making trading decisions.

Education

Scalper’s Paradise Part 3 – The Power of Order Flow and DOM Welcome back to Scalper’s Paradise! In this third part of the series, I want to take you into one of the most powerful tools in professional trading: Order Flow and the Depth of Market (DOM). I chose this topic because during my time as an institutional trader, this was our entire world. We didn’t use indicators. We didn’t guess. We traded exclusively based on what we could see happening live in the DOM and Time & Sales. Every decision was made tick by tick, based on real market activity. That experience shaped the way I view markets forever—and today, I want to share that perspective with you. What Is Order Flow, Really? To me, Order Flow is the most honest information the market can give you. It doesn’t predict, it reveals. It shows who is actually making moves right now. When I was sitting at my institutional desk, I didn’t look at moving averages or oscillators. I looked at who was being aggressive: were market buyers lifting offers, or were sellers smashing the bid? Watching the tape (Time & Sales) and the footprint chart was like watching a fight unfold in real time. No filters, no guesses. Just raw interaction between buyers and sellers. That’s where real decisions are made. The DOM: My Daily Reality as a Trader The DOM (Depth of Market) was the first thing I looked at every morning, and the last thing I closed at night. It shows all visible limit orders resting at each price level. But there’s a catch: not everything you see is real. In the institution, we were trained to spot real interest versus manipulation. Stacked bids might look strong, but if they disappear the moment price drops tells you that there was never a true intent. Iceberg orders were more interesting, when price gets hit again and again and doesn’t move, that usually meant someone was absorbing quietly. Reading the DOM is like reading an X-ray of the market’s intentions. And yes, there’s a lot of noise, a lot of deception. But once you learn to read through it, it’s the most powerful tool you’ll ever have. How We Used Order Flow on the Institutional Side At the institution, we never chased price. That was rule number one. We let the market come to us (meaning: we used Limit Orders as often as possible) and we used Order Flow to guide every decision. One of the most important concepts was absorption . If we needed to build a large long position, we didn’t just slam the ask. We would let sellers come in and hit our bids again and again and again. If price didn’t break lower, that told us we were in control. On the flip side, when we needed to move the market , we switched gears. We used market orders aggressively to push through key levels, forcing reactions, triggering stops, and creating follow-through. And yes, there were times when we intentionally created traps . We’d push price into obvious zones, make it look like a breakout, then fade it, because we knew how the market reacts afterwards. Order Flow was the only way to read those games in real time. How You Can Use This as a Retail Trader I know what you might be thinking: “I’m just a retail trader, how can I possibly use tools like Order Flow or DOM the way institutions do?” The good news is: you don’t have to compete with institutions, you just need to read their intentions. Here’s how I would approach it today: 1) Open a footprint chart and look for imbalances, areas where one side is clearly more aggressive. Watch for absorption or sudden volume spikes. 2) Watch the Time & Sales feed. Is there a flurry of trades hitting the ask, but price isn’t moving? That’s someone selling into strength. 3) Use the DOM around key areas like VWAP, previous day high/low, or liquidity clusters. Are orders getting pulled? Is size appearing suddenly? These are all signals. You don’t need to be early. Let the big player act first, then confirm what you’re seeing across Order Flow and DOM. When everything aligns, that’s your edge. Bringing It All Together In Part 1, I shared how we used VWAP and Volume Profile as benchmarks to evaluate execution quality. In Part 2, I showed you how I identify institutional activity using raw volume and 10-second charts. And now, in Part 3, you’ve seen the real-time decision-making tools: Order Flow and DOM. These aren’t indicators. They’re not theories. They’re the actual battlefield where institutions operate and where I learned to trade. My goal with this series has always been simple: to give you access to the same mindset I used at the institutional level, but through a lens that makes sense for your reality as a retail trader. Don’t try to outsmart the market. Observe it. Align with the big players. Let their behavior guide your decisions. That’s how I learned to trade professionally—and it’s exactly how you can start thinking and acting like a pro, even without the size. Part 1: Part 2:

Education

by Marco_Boesing

#AN021: TRUMP Threats on Tariffs and FOREX Tensions Global markets are waking up to a currency cold war. Hi, I'm Trader Andrea Russo, and today I want to share the latest news with you. Donald Trump set the day alight, launching a barrage of threats from a rally in Ohio: "If re-elected, I will impose 60% tariffs on all of China, 20% on Mexico, and 10% on the European Union. And I'm telling Putin clearly: if you continue to help China evade our embargoes, we will hit Russia too." The words reverberated across global investment banks, triggering an immediate reaction in the dollar and emerging market currencies. Markets React: USD Soars, GBP and NOK on Alert The US dollar gained ground against nearly all major currencies, while the GBP collapsed under pressure from fears of a BoE rate cut and a slowing labor market. The GBP/NOK pair, in particular, is showing signs of a structured bearish breakout: the pound is under dual pressure (domestic politics + trade war), while the Norwegian krone is indirectly benefiting from rising energy prices and pro-commodity sentiment. US CPI at 2:30 PM: The Real Detonator The US core inflation figure will be released at 2:30 PM Italian time. The consensus is for +3.4%, but a higher reading could push the Fed to remain more hawkish for longer. This would strengthen the dollar and create new shock waves in weak and emerging market currencies. Specifically: USD/JPY could break above 162.00 with strength. GBP/USD risks a break below 1.29. USD/SEK and USD/MXN are the key pairs to watch for explosive movements. Trump vs. Powell: A Showdown Meanwhile, fears are growing of a direct attack by Trump on the Fed. According to Deutsche Bank, markets are underestimating the possibility that Trump will attempt to remove Jerome Powell if he returns to the White House. "The market is ignoring the Trump-Powell variance. If he really tries, the dollar could fall 4% in a week," – Deutsche Bank We are about to enter the best time of the month for Forex. Those who get their timing wrong today will burn capital. Those who wait for the right signal can ride the trend arising from a predicted global crisis.

Education

by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP

Earnings HFT gaps The gaps that form during earnings season on or the next day after the CEO reports the revenues and income for that past quarter are always HFT driven. The concern over the past 2 previous quarters was the fact that the High Frequency Trading Firms were incorporating Artificial Intelligence into their Algos to make automated trading decisions on the millisecond scale. These small lot orders fill the ques milliseconds ahead of the market open in the US and any huge quantity of ORDERS (not lot size) causes the computers of the public exchanges and market to gap up or gap down, often a huge gap. This can be problematic for those of you who use Pre Earnings Runs to enter a stock in anticipation of a positive to excellent earnings report for this upcoming quarter. The HFT algos had several major flaws in the programming that did the opposite: The AI triggered sell orders rather than buy order causing the stock price to gap down hugely on good earnings news. Be mindful that normal gaps due to a corporate event are far more reliable and consistent. When you trade during earnings season, be aware that there is still added risk of an AI making a mistake and causing the stock to gap and run down on good news. It is important to calculate the risk factors until it is evident by the end of this earnings season that the errors within the AI programming have been corrected and that the AI will gap appropriately to the actual facts rather than misinterpreted information.

Education

05:47

by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader

Deep Dive Part III – The Next BIG Whale Play Unfolds Deep Dive Part III – The Next BIG Whale Play Unfolds 📍In Parts I & II of this Deep Dive, we broke down the psychology of whale behavior — from “Buy the Rumors, Sell the News” to the critical breakout zones that echoed historical patterns. 🐋 Back then, we spotted the whales' playbook early. The strategy was simple: Buy the Rumors – Sell the News. 🧠 But now, the script has changed. “The trap is where you’re most bored… 🌴📵 Their exit — on your liquidity — comes when you’re least ready. 💰🏄‍♂️💼” Let’s break this moment down into what’s really unfolding. We are officially entering the next stage of the cycle — not just in price, but in psychology. This is no longer just about charts. This is about human behavior on autopilot. Here’s what I see happening right now — broken into three truths: 1️⃣ People Are On Holiday 🌞 From my community to the broader market, the energy is low. People are either sunbathing on a beach or mentally checked out. The focus is not there. The reflex to take action is dulled. 📉 The trap is where you’re most bored… 🌴📵 💰 Their exit — on your liquidity — comes when you’re least ready. 🏄‍♂️💼🚀 We’re seeing it unfold now: 1. Set the Bear Trap 2. Trigger the FOMO (will be down the road, yes) 3. Exit on Liquidity (the closing act of the play) 🕶️ But when everyone is away or asleep, that’s when the trap is laid. It’s during these quiet, lazy days that the big moves get built. 2️⃣ This is a Disbelief Rally 🎢 The market trained everyone with a rhythm: pump ➝ dump, pump ➝ dump, pump ➝ dump… So what happens now? People don’t trust the breakout. They’re frozen. “We’ll dump again,” they say. Except… what if this time, we don’t? That disbelief becomes fuel. It becomes hesitation — and hesitation becomes missed opportunity. 3️⃣ Bears Are Shorting Into Strength 🧨 This is key. While retail is confused, the bears are pressing in hard. Their shorts are adding fuel to the pump they don’t see coming. That’s why I posted recently: “Shorting isn’t the problem. Being a psycho bear is.” It’s not about being bullish or bearish — It’s about timing , discipline , and narrative awareness . Whales love this moment. They lure in shorts, set the trap, then ignite the breakout straight into FOMO. 🧠 The Game: Set the Trap → Trigger the FOMO → Exit on Liquidity 💥 This is what you’re seeing on the chart. Not just price action — psychological choreography. 🕰️ In 2020–2021, we saw the exact same structure. Part I warned about early accumulation and baiting behavior. Part II showed how whales manipulated expectations with layered waves of doubt. Now in Part III — the explosion few are ready for. Zoom into the chart and it’s all there: The curve, the trap, the trigger… and yes — the Final Boss. 🎯 The Final Boss: 6.51T That’s the ultimate liquidity zone. If this cycle plays out, we’re headed toward it. “Sell the Rate Cuts” will be the new “Sell the News.” It’s not the headlines that matter — it’s who’s left holding the bag. 🔚 Final Thought The real exit — the one that traps most of retail — will come not when you’re euphoric, but when you’re still saying: “Surely we must dump now…” So stay sharp. Trade the chart — but don’t forget to read the behavior. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Part1: Part2:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/idea/VgMBPsp3/ The Bear Trap: Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈

Education

by FX_Professor

Atomic Pump Exploded, You Missed It! Now What?Ever opened your charts after a few hours off and realized the market just exploded upwards without you? That feeling of missing out, regret, and mental chaos is real. But here’s the thing: if you missed the move, what should you do next? This post is for you the ones who feel like the train left the station, but still want to win the next round. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin : Volume remains the decisive factor driving BINANCE:BTCUSDT toward higher price levels 📈. Across various scenarios whether it’s market battles, FOMO spikes, institutional capital flows, or extended periods of consolidation volume confirms the strength behind the move. Discussions about Bitcoin as the new global currency continue to fuel interest and momentum. In the short term, I’m targeting $129,000 for Bitcoin, representing roughly a 6% upside from current prices 🚀. Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🧠 Understanding the Trader Psychology After Missing a Market Nuclear Explosion When the market suddenly pumps, the first thought for many traders is: “I missed it.” That’s where the mental storm begins. Your mind starts blaming you, your analysis, or even bad luck. But all of that is just an emotional response. The real question is can you use this moment to build your self-awareness and grow as a trader? 🧨 Turning Mistakes into Opportunities Without Self-Blame Missing a pump isn’t necessarily a mistake it’s just an outcome. Maybe you didn’t check the charts, maybe fear held you back. What matters is: what did you learn? A real trader documents every misstep, studies it, and adjusts next time. Turn that missed opportunity into a "pivot moment". Keep a trading journal. Write why you missed it. What signs were there that you ignored? What can you do differently next time? 📊 TradingView Tools to Hunt the Next Big Move 🚀 When the market explodes, jumping in without a plan is a recipe for disaster. Step one? Turn off your emotions. Step two? Open up TradingView. In moments like these, a few key tools can help you figure out whether the pump is over — or just getting started. One of the most powerful tools is Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR). It shows you where volume is stacking up. Heavy pumps usually lead to corrections, but if VPVR shows strong volume still holding higher levels, the opportunity may not be gone yet. Next is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). If RSI is already above 70, chances are you're showing up late. But here’s the twist if there’s a small dip, RSI cools down, and then starts rising again… that might be your real chance to enter. 💥 When the Market Blows Up Like a Nuclear Bomb, How Do You React? When green candles start stacking and everyone’s flexing profits, you’re left behind staring at a chart that feels like it betrayed you. This is exactly when people make emotional decisions. But urgent hype is the enemy of good analysis. Your first job here: stay calm and look at the trend like a surgeon. 🧩 Greed vs. Logic Entering at the Top or Waiting for a Pullback? The question isn’t whether to enter now. The real question is: why are you entering? Because you feel left out? Or because your system gives you a signal? If your decision isn’t based on a clean setup, you’re not trading you’re gambling. Logic must win over emotion. Every. Single. Time. 🧱 Coping With the Psychological Wall of Missing Out The pain of missing out is real. It’s like arriving at the station just to see the train’s dust. But here’s the truth: this wasn’t the last train. One of the best traits of a great trader is the belief in future opportunities. If you chase what’s already gone, you’ll keep losing. Instead, focus on rebuilding your mindset. 🎯 Smart Goal Setting: Prepare for the Next Wave, Don’t Chase the Previous One Don’t chase a pump that’s already peaked. Instead, watch for early signs of the next one. Look at coins that haven’t moved yet but are building momentum. Focus on price action, volume behavior, hidden news, and reliable chart patterns. Let logic lead the way not FOMO. 🔄 What’s the Best Move After Missing a Pump? Maybe… Do Nothing Sometimes, doing nothing is the best strategy. The market isn’t a one-time lottery ticket. It gives out chances regularly but your impatient mind makes you believe you’re running out of time. If your next move feels rushed, pause. Train your discipline to only trade with a cool head. 💡 Pro Tips to Come Back Stronger in the Next Big Move Instead of regret, build a killer watchlist. Set smart price alerts. Go back to your past data and find recurring setups. Sharpen your skills, study tools that help, and prepare for different scenarios. Being prepared = staying ahead. ✨ Need a little love! We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.

Education

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Select market data provided by ICE Data services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc.© 2025 TradingView, Inc.

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